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RoofPayback
Updated Oct 15

Solar panels in Oakland, CA: payback and output

A kW of south-facing panels in Oakland produces about 1,577 kWh a year, 6% less than Los Angeles, the California reference city. Summer months produce 1.9× what winter does. To cover a typical 10,500 kWh/yr home on paper you'd need roughly 6.7 kW.

Output by month in Oakland (kWh per kW)

Best: Jul · weakest: Dec.

Jan: 82 kWhJanFeb: 101 kWhFebMar: 125 kWhMarApr: 155 kWhAprMay: 164 kWhMayJun: 166 kWhJunJul: 170 kWhJulAug: 168 kWhAugSep: 143 kWhSepOct: 130 kWhOctNov: 94 kWhNovDec: 80 kWhDec

Example 7 kW system in Oakland

Installed cost (example)
$21,000
Production, year 1
11,039 kWh
Savings, year 1
$3,529
Payback
5.8 years
25-year net gain
$94,084

Uses the California average price (33.61¢/kWh, EIA July 2026), full net metering and no incentives. Your utility's rate and export credit may differ — change them below.

Roof direction in Oakland

Yearly output per kW of panels at a 20° pitch, and how it compares with a south-facing roof.

Roof faceskWh per kW/yrvs. south
South1,577—
Southeast1,494−5%
Southwest1,546−2%
East1,339−15%
West1,413−10%
East-west (split)1,376−13%

Calculate your home in Oakland

1 · Your roof
Roof faces
Pitch

About 6.5 kW would cover 100% of your yearly use.

2 · Your usage
3 · Prices
Paying with
Advanced assumptions

Estimated payback

5.8 years

A strong case: well inside the life of the panels.

≈ $294/month off your bill in year 1

025y
Year-1 savings
$3,529
25-yr net gain
$94,084
Return (IRR)
18.4%
Net cost
$21,000

Cumulative savings minus cost

-$21k$0$94kYear 0510152025Break-even · 5.8 yrs

Production vs. use by month

11,039 kWh/yr

Jan: 571 kWhJanFeb: 705 kWhFebMar: 876 kWhMarApr: 1,086 kWhAprMay: 1,147 kWhMayJun: 1,163 kWhJunJul: 1,191 kWhJulAug: 1,173 kWhAugSep: 998 kWhSepOct: 913 kWhOctNov: 659 kWhNovDec: 558 kWhDec
Production Your use

Covers 40% of your use directly; 38% of the output is used on the spot.

539 kWh/yr earn no credit. Your credits exceed a year of grid purchases and most utilities don't pay out the excess. A smaller system pays back faster.

Which size pays off best?

Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year gain: 7 kW.

SizeCostYear-1 savingsPayback25-yr gain
3 kW$9,000$1,5905.7 years$39,350
4 kW$12,000$2,1205.7 years$53,300
5 kW$15,000$2,6505.6 years$67,250
6 kW$18,000$3,1805.6 years$81,200
7 kW$21,000$3,5295.8 years$94,084
8 kW$24,000$3,5296.5 years$94,044
10 kW$30,000$3,5298.0 years$88,044
12 kW$36,000$3,5299.4 years$82,044
Estimate based on NLR PVWatts and EIA data. How we calculate.

Read the full California solar guide for net metering, orientation and price trends.

Other cities in California

Cities with similar sunshine

Solar in Oakland: common questions

Are solar panels worth it in Oakland, CA?

For an example 7 kW system costing $21,000 on a home using 10,500 kWh a year, payback in Oakland is 5.8 years with full net metering and 7.9 years if exports earn half the retail rate, at the California average price of 33.61¢/kWh (EIA, July 2026).

How much electricity do solar panels produce in Oakland?

About 1,577 kWh per year for each kW of south-facing panels at a 20° pitch (NLR PVWatts, typical-year weather), from 80 kWh in Dec to 170 kWh in Jul.

What size solar system does a home in Oakland need?

About 6.7 kW to cover 10,500 kWh a year. Divide your own annual use by 1,577 kWh per kW for a first estimate; if exports earn less than retail, a smaller system often pays back faster.

Does roof direction matter in Oakland?

Yes. Per kW at a 20° pitch: south 1,577 kWh, southeast 1,494 kWh, southwest 1,546 kWh, east 1,339 kWh, west 1,413 kWh, east-west (split) 1,376 kWh a year. South-facing roofs produce the most; east or west roofs still work, with less output.

Guides for going solar in Oakland

Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather near Oakland (37.8, -122.27), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Published 2026-10-15.