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RoofPayback
Updated Oct 15

Solar panels in Rochester, NY: payback and output

A kW of south-facing panels in Rochester produces about 1,199 kWh a year, 7% less than New York City, the New York reference city. Summer months produce 2.5× what winter does. To cover a typical 10,500 kWh/yr home on paper you'd need roughly 8.8 kW.

Output by month in Rochester (kWh per kW)

Best: Jul · weakest: Dec.

Jan: 53 kWhJanFeb: 75 kWhFebMar: 104 kWhMarApr: 122 kWhAprMay: 141 kWhMayJun: 129 kWhJunJul: 154 kWhJulAug: 129 kWhAugSep: 114 kWhSepOct: 84 kWhOctNov: 57 kWhNovDec: 40 kWhDec

Example 7 kW system in Rochester

Installed cost (example)
$21,000
Production, year 1
8,394 kWh
Savings, year 1
$2,510
Payback
8.1 years
25-year net gain
$56,765

Uses the New York average price (29.90¢/kWh, EIA July 2026), full net metering and no incentives. Your utility's rate and export credit may differ — change them below.

Roof direction in Rochester

Yearly output per kW of panels at a 20° pitch, and how it compares with a south-facing roof.

Roof faceskWh per kW/yrvs. south
South1,199—
Southeast1,159−3%
Southwest1,146−4%
East1,044−13%
West1,026−14%
East-west (split)1,035−14%

Calculate your home in Rochester

1 · Your roof
Roof faces
Pitch

About 9.0 kW would cover 100% of your yearly use.

2 · Your usage
3 · Prices
Paying with
Advanced assumptions

Estimated payback

8.1 years

A solid case if you plan to stay in the home.

≈ $209/month off your bill in year 1

025y
Year-1 savings
$2,510
25-yr net gain
$56,765
Return (IRR)
12.5%
Net cost
$21,000

Cumulative savings minus cost

-$21k$0$57kYear 0510152025Break-even · 8.1 yrs

Production vs. use by month

8,394 kWh/yr

Jan: 370 kWhJanFeb: 522 kWhFebMar: 729 kWhMarApr: 855 kWhAprMay: 984 kWhMayJun: 902 kWhJunJul: 1,075 kWhJulAug: 900 kWhAugSep: 796 kWhSepOct: 586 kWhOctNov: 402 kWhNovDec: 277 kWhDec
Production Your use

Covers 39% of your use directly; 49% of the output is used on the spot.

Which size pays off best?

Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year gain: 10 kW.

SizeCostYear-1 savingsPayback25-yr gain
3 kW$9,000$1,0768.5 years$22,899
4 kW$12,000$1,4348.3 years$31,366
5 kW$15,000$1,7938.2 years$39,832
6 kW$18,000$2,1518.1 years$48,299
7 kW$21,000$2,5108.1 years$56,765
8 kW$24,000$2,8688.1 years$65,232
10 kW$30,000$3,1398.9 years$74,738
12 kW$36,000$3,14010.5 years$68,738
Estimate based on NLR PVWatts and EIA data. How we calculate.

Read the full New York solar guide for net metering, orientation and price trends.

Other cities in New York

Cities with similar sunshine

Solar in Rochester: common questions

Are solar panels worth it in Rochester, NY?

For an example 7 kW system costing $21,000 on a home using 10,500 kWh a year, payback in Rochester is 8.1 years with full net metering and 10.6 years if exports earn half the retail rate, at the New York average price of 29.90¢/kWh (EIA, July 2026).

How much electricity do solar panels produce in Rochester?

About 1,199 kWh per year for each kW of south-facing panels at a 20° pitch (NLR PVWatts, typical-year weather), from 40 kWh in Dec to 154 kWh in Jul.

What size solar system does a home in Rochester need?

About 8.8 kW to cover 10,500 kWh a year. Divide your own annual use by 1,199 kWh per kW for a first estimate; if exports earn less than retail, a smaller system often pays back faster.

Does roof direction matter in Rochester?

Yes. Per kW at a 20° pitch: south 1,199 kWh, southeast 1,159 kWh, southwest 1,146 kWh, east 1,044 kWh, west 1,026 kWh, east-west (split) 1,035 kWh a year. South-facing roofs produce the most; east or west roofs still work, with less output.

Guides for going solar in Rochester

Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather near Rochester (43.16, -77.61), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Published 2026-10-15.