Solar panels in Buffalo, NY: payback and output
A kW of south-facing panels in Buffalo produces about 1,202 kWh a year, 7% less than New York City, the New York reference city. Summer months produce 2.5× what winter does. To cover a typical 10,500 kWh/yr home on paper you'd need roughly 8.7 kW.
Output by month in Buffalo (kWh per kW)
Best: Jul · weakest: Dec.
Example 7 kW system in Buffalo
- Installed cost (example)
- $21,000
- Production, year 1
- 8,417 kWh
- Savings, year 1
- $2,517
- Payback
- 8.1 years
- 25-year net gain
- $56,980
Uses the New York average price (29.90¢/kWh, EIA July 2026), full net metering and no incentives. Your utility's rate and export credit may differ — change them below.
Roof direction in Buffalo
Yearly output per kW of panels at a 20° pitch, and how it compares with a south-facing roof.
| Roof faces | kWh per kW/yr | vs. south |
|---|---|---|
| South | 1,202 | — |
| Southeast | 1,162 | −3% |
| Southwest | 1,149 | −4% |
| East | 1,048 | −13% |
| West | 1,030 | −14% |
| East-west (split) | 1,039 | −14% |
Calculate your home in Buffalo
Estimated payback
8.1 years
A solid case if you plan to stay in the home.
≈ $210/month off your bill in year 1
- Year-1 savings
- $2,517
- 25-yr net gain
- $56,980
- Return (IRR)
- 12.6%
- Net cost
- $21,000
Cumulative savings minus cost
Production vs. use by month
8,417 kWh/yr
Covers 39% of your use directly; 49% of the output is used on the spot.
Which size pays off best?
Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year gain: 10 kW.
| Size | Cost | Year-1 savings | Payback | 25-yr gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 kW | $9,000 | $1,079 | 8.5 years | $22,991 |
| 4 kW | $12,000 | $1,438 | 8.3 years | $31,488 |
| 5 kW | $15,000 | $1,798 | 8.2 years | $39,985 |
| 6 kW | $18,000 | $2,157 | 8.1 years | $48,483 |
| 7 kW | $21,000 | $2,517 | 8.1 years | $56,980 |
| 8 kW | $24,000 | $2,876 | 8.0 years | $65,477 |
| 10 kW | $30,000 | $3,140 | 8.9 years | $74,738 |
| 12 kW | $36,000 | $3,139 | 10.5 years | $68,738 |
Read the full New York solar guide for net metering, orientation and price trends.
Other cities in New York
Cities with similar sunshine
Solar in Buffalo: common questions
Are solar panels worth it in Buffalo, NY?
For an example 7 kW system costing $21,000 on a home using 10,500 kWh a year, payback in Buffalo is 8.1 years with full net metering and 10.6 years if exports earn half the retail rate, at the New York average price of 29.90¢/kWh (EIA, July 2026).
How much electricity do solar panels produce in Buffalo?
About 1,202 kWh per year for each kW of south-facing panels at a 20° pitch (NLR PVWatts, typical-year weather), from 43 kWh in Dec to 144 kWh in Jul.
What size solar system does a home in Buffalo need?
About 8.7 kW to cover 10,500 kWh a year. Divide your own annual use by 1,202 kWh per kW for a first estimate; if exports earn less than retail, a smaller system often pays back faster.
Does roof direction matter in Buffalo?
Yes. Per kW at a 20° pitch: south 1,202 kWh, southeast 1,162 kWh, southwest 1,149 kWh, east 1,048 kWh, west 1,030 kWh, east-west (split) 1,039 kWh a year. South-facing roofs produce the most; east or west roofs still work, with less output.
Guides for going solar in Buffalo
- Payback · 4 minIs solar still worth it without the 30% federal tax credit?The 30% federal solar credit is gone for new systems. We ran payback for every state without it, and compared it with what the credit used to do.
- Planning · 3 minHow many solar panels do I need? Sizing from your electric billA step-by-step way to size a home solar system from your annual kWh, daytime use and local sunshine, with real size-vs-payback tables for four states.
- Payback · 4 minNet metering vs. net billing: how export credits change paybackHow much your utility pays for exported solar power can add years to payback. We compare full, half and quarter-retail credits in every state.
- Planning · 6 minEast- or West-Facing Roof: Is Solar Still Worth It?East- or west-facing solar panels made about 14.5% to 14.8% less power than south-facing ones across U.S. states. See where the loss is biggest and smallest.
- Planning · 6 minSolar Panels in Winter: Output by State vs. SummerHow much do solar panels make in winter? Winter vs. summer output per kW for U.S. states, why the gap grows up north, and what it means for net metering.
- Payback · 5 minRising electricity prices: where solar pays back fastestCompare electricity prices and solar payback by state: see where a rooftop system pays back fastest, where it is slowest, and why credit rules matter.
Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather near Buffalo (42.89, -78.88), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Published 2026-10-15.