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RoofPayback
Updated Oct 15

Solar panels in Duluth, MN: payback and output

A kW of south-facing panels in Duluth produces about 1,250 kWh a year, 6% less than Minneapolis, the Minnesota reference city. Summer months produce 2.3× what winter does. To cover a typical 10,500 kWh/yr home on paper you'd need roughly 8.4 kW.

Output by month in Duluth (kWh per kW)

Best: Jul · weakest: Dec.

Jan: 60 kWhJanFeb: 78 kWhFebMar: 131 kWhMarApr: 136 kWhAprMay: 132 kWhMayJun: 139 kWhJunJul: 148 kWhJulAug: 140 kWhAugSep: 105 kWhSepOct: 77 kWhOctNov: 55 kWhNovDec: 49 kWhDec

Example 7 kW system in Duluth

Installed cost (example)
$21,000
Production, year 1
8,753 kWh
Savings, year 1
$1,527
Payback
12.9 years
25-year net gain
$25,344

Uses the Minnesota average price (17.45¢/kWh, EIA July 2026), full net metering and no incentives. Your utility's rate and export credit may differ — change them below.

Roof direction in Duluth

Yearly output per kW of panels at a 20° pitch, and how it compares with a south-facing roof.

Roof faceskWh per kW/yrvs. south
South1,250—
Southeast1,196−4%
Southwest1,190−5%
East1,053−16%
West1,045−16%
East-west (split)1,049−16%

Calculate your home in Duluth

1 · Your roof
Roof faces
Pitch

About 8.5 kW would cover 100% of your yearly use.

2 · Your usage
3 · Prices
Paying with
Advanced assumptions

Estimated payback

12.9 years

A solid case if you plan to stay in the home.

≈ $127/month off your bill in year 1

025y
Year-1 savings
$1,527
25-yr net gain
$25,344
Return (IRR)
6.6%
Net cost
$21,000

Cumulative savings minus cost

-$21k$0$25kYear 0510152025Break-even · 12.9 yrs

Production vs. use by month

8,753 kWh/yr

Jan: 421 kWhJanFeb: 548 kWhFebMar: 914 kWhMarApr: 950 kWhAprMay: 926 kWhMayJun: 974 kWhJunJul: 1,033 kWhJulAug: 981 kWhAugSep: 736 kWhSepOct: 540 kWhOctNov: 387 kWhNovDec: 342 kWhDec
Production Your use

Covers 40% of your use directly; 48% of the output is used on the spot.

Which size pays off best?

Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year gain: 10 kW.

SizeCostYear-1 savingsPayback25-yr gain
3 kW$9,000$65513.9 years$9,433
4 kW$12,000$87313.5 years$13,411
5 kW$15,000$1,09113.2 years$17,388
6 kW$18,000$1,30913.1 years$21,366
7 kW$21,000$1,52712.9 years$25,344
8 kW$24,000$1,74612.9 years$29,322
10 kW$30,000$1,83214.5 years$30,086
12 kW$36,000$1,83216.8 years$24,086
Estimate based on NLR PVWatts and EIA data. How we calculate.

Read the full Minnesota solar guide for net metering, orientation and price trends.

Other cities in Minnesota

Cities with similar sunshine

Solar in Duluth: common questions

Are solar panels worth it in Duluth, MN?

For an example 7 kW system costing $21,000 on a home using 10,500 kWh a year, payback in Duluth is 12.9 years with full net metering and 16.9 years if exports earn half the retail rate, at the Minnesota average price of 17.45¢/kWh (EIA, July 2026).

How much electricity do solar panels produce in Duluth?

About 1,250 kWh per year for each kW of south-facing panels at a 20° pitch (NLR PVWatts, typical-year weather), from 49 kWh in Dec to 148 kWh in Jul.

What size solar system does a home in Duluth need?

About 8.4 kW to cover 10,500 kWh a year. Divide your own annual use by 1,250 kWh per kW for a first estimate; if exports earn less than retail, a smaller system often pays back faster.

Does roof direction matter in Duluth?

Yes. Per kW at a 20° pitch: south 1,250 kWh, southeast 1,196 kWh, southwest 1,190 kWh, east 1,053 kWh, west 1,045 kWh, east-west (split) 1,049 kWh a year. South-facing roofs produce the most; east or west roofs still work, with less output.

Guides for going solar in Duluth

Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather near Duluth (46.79, -92.1), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Published 2026-10-15.