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RoofPayback

Solar panels in Florida: payback, production and savings

In Orlando, each kW of south-facing panels produces about 1,544 kWh a year, #7 of 51 states for sunshine. Homes in Florida paid 15.03¢/kWh on average in July 2026 (#37 highest in the U.S.; national average 18.31¢), down 0.5% from a year earlier. Below-average power prices stretch the payback, so sizing and the export credit matter more.

Output by month (kWh per kW)

May is the best month (153 kWh) and Dec the weakest (106 kWh).

Jan: 117 kWhJanFeb: 109 kWhFebMar: 146 kWhMarApr: 148 kWhAprMay: 153 kWhMayJun: 129 kWhJunJul: 132 kWhJulAug: 134 kWhAugSep: 125 kWhSepOct: 134 kWhOctNov: 112 kWhNovDec: 106 kWhDec153

Example: 7 kW system, 10,500 kWh/yr home

Full net meteringCredit ½ retailCredit ¼ retail
Year-1 savings$1,578$1,128$880
Payback12.3 years16.9 years20.8 years
25-year net gain$28,296$13,262$5,662

Assumptions, not quotes: $21,000 installed ($3,000/kW), no incentives, 40% of use during daylight, power prices +2.5%/yr. Change them below.

How roof direction changes output in Florida

kWh per kW per year, and the difference vs. south at 20°.

Facing20° pitch30° pitch
South1,544 (+0%)1,554 (+1%)
Southeast1,517 (-2%)1,519 (-2%)
Southwest1,467 (-5%)1,449 (-6%)
East1,400 (-9%)1,359 (-12%)
West1,329 (-14%)1,262 (-18%)
East-west (split)1,365 (-12%)1,311 (-15%)

What to check before going solar in Florida

Run your own numbers in Florida

Your roof
Your usage
Prices
Advanced

First-year savings

$1,578

Payback

12.3 years

25-year net gain

$28,296

Return (IRR)

7.2%

Production vs. use by month

10,811 kWh/yr produced · covers 40% of your use directly · 39% of output used on the spot.

Jan: 818 kWhJanFeb: 762 kWhFebMar: 1021 kWhMarApr: 1035 kWhAprMay: 1070 kWhMayJun: 902 kWhJunJul: 925 kWhJulAug: 939 kWhAugSep: 872 kWhSepOct: 938 kWhOctNov: 787 kWhNovDec: 743 kWhDec1070
Production Use

311 kWh/yr earn no credit: your credits exceed a year of grid purchases, and most utilities don't pay out the excess. A smaller system pays back faster.

Which size pays off best?

Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year net gain: 7 kW.

kWCostYear-1 savingsPayback25-yr gain
3$9,000$69613.1 years$10,769
4$12,000$92812.7 years$15,192
5$15,000$1,16112.5 years$19,616
6$18,000$1,39312.3 years$24,039
7$21,000$1,57812.3 years$28,296
8$24,000$1,57813.7 years$27,406
10$30,000$1,57816.5 years$21,406
12$36,000$1,57819.0 years$15,406
Estimate based on NLR PVWatts and EIA data. See the methodology.

States with similar sunshine

Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather for Orlando (28.54, -81.38), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Prices: U.S. EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (July 2026). Methodology.