Skip to content
RoofPayback
Updated Oct 15

Solar panels in Lexington, KY: payback and output

A kW of south-facing panels in Lexington produces about 1,338 kWh a year, about the same as Louisville, the Kentucky reference city. Summer months produce 1.8× what winter does. To cover a typical 10,500 kWh/yr home on paper you'd need roughly 7.8 kW.

Output by month in Lexington (kWh per kW)

Best: Jun · weakest: Dec.

Jan: 79 kWhJanFeb: 86 kWhFebMar: 106 kWhMarApr: 123 kWhAprMay: 141 kWhMayJun: 142 kWhJunJul: 142 kWhJulAug: 142 kWhAugSep: 119 kWhSepOct: 109 kWhOctNov: 83 kWhNovDec: 68 kWhDec

Example 7 kW system in Lexington

Installed cost (example)
$21,000
Production, year 1
9,363 kWh
Savings, year 1
$1,293
Payback
15.1 years
25-year net gain
$17,851

Uses the Kentucky average price (13.81¢/kWh, EIA July 2026), full net metering and no incentives. Your utility's rate and export credit may differ — change them below.

Roof direction in Lexington

Yearly output per kW of panels at a 20° pitch, and how it compares with a south-facing roof.

Roof faceskWh per kW/yrvs. south
South1,338—
Southeast1,283−4%
Southwest1,283−4%
East1,151−14%
West1,151−14%
East-west (split)1,151−14%

Calculate your home in Lexington

1 · Your roof
Roof faces
Pitch

About 8.0 kW would cover 100% of your yearly use.

2 · Your usage
3 · Prices
Paying with
Advanced assumptions

Estimated payback

15.1 years

A slow payback: size, price and export credit matter a lot here.

≈ $108/month off your bill in year 1

025y
Year-1 savings
$1,293
25-yr net gain
$17,851
Return (IRR)
4.9%
Net cost
$21,000

Cumulative savings minus cost

-$21k$0$18kYear 0510152025Break-even · 15.1 yrs

Production vs. use by month

9,363 kWh/yr

Jan: 553 kWhJanFeb: 599 kWhFebMar: 743 kWhMarApr: 858 kWhAprMay: 986 kWhMayJun: 995 kWhJunJul: 991 kWhJulAug: 993 kWhAugSep: 835 kWhSepOct: 761 kWhOctNov: 578 kWhNovDec: 473 kWhDec
Production Your use

Covers 40% of your use directly; 45% of the output is used on the spot.

Which size pays off best?

Same usage and prices, only size changes. Best 25-year gain: 8 kW.

SizeCostYear-1 savingsPayback25-yr gain
3 kW$9,000$55416.4 years$6,222
4 kW$12,000$73915.8 years$9,129
5 kW$15,000$92415.5 years$12,036
6 kW$18,000$1,10815.3 years$14,944
7 kW$21,000$1,29315.1 years$17,851
8 kW$24,000$1,45015.0 years$20,690
10 kW$30,000$1,45017.7 years$17,030
12 kW$36,000$1,45020.4 years$11,030
Estimate based on NLR PVWatts and EIA data. How we calculate.

Read the full Kentucky solar guide for net metering, orientation and price trends.

Cities with similar sunshine

Solar in Lexington: common questions

Are solar panels worth it in Lexington, KY?

For an example 7 kW system costing $21,000 on a home using 10,500 kWh a year, payback in Lexington is 15.1 years with full net metering and 19.9 years if exports earn half the retail rate, at the Kentucky average price of 13.81¢/kWh (EIA, July 2026).

How much electricity do solar panels produce in Lexington?

About 1,338 kWh per year for each kW of south-facing panels at a 20° pitch (NLR PVWatts, typical-year weather), from 68 kWh in Dec to 142 kWh in Jun.

What size solar system does a home in Lexington need?

About 7.8 kW to cover 10,500 kWh a year. Divide your own annual use by 1,338 kWh per kW for a first estimate; if exports earn less than retail, a smaller system often pays back faster.

Does roof direction matter in Lexington?

Yes. Per kW at a 20° pitch: south 1,338 kWh, southeast 1,283 kWh, southwest 1,283 kWh, east 1,151 kWh, west 1,151 kWh, east-west (split) 1,151 kWh a year. South-facing roofs produce the most; east or west roofs still work, with less output.

Guides for going solar in Lexington

Data: NLR PVWatts v8 (U.S. DOE National Laboratory of the Rockies, formerly NREL), TMY weather near Lexington (38.04, -84.5), 14% losses, retrieved 2026-10-11. Published 2026-10-15.